Fana vs Gneist Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Fana vs Gneist
Model pick: Gneist (43%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.5 – 2.68
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 77%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fana | Gneist |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 3.5 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
*Fana shown at home, Gneist shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fana — last 5
WL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Gneist — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fana (home) | Gneist (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 0% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.78
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 13%
Away wins: 42%
Over 2.5: 81%
BTTS: 74%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.5 vs 2.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Fana or draw (1X) | 56% |
| Double chance — Gneist or draw (X2) | 62% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Fana clean sheet | 7% |
| Gneist clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Gneist is the model's most likely outcome at
43%. Despite playing away, Gneist edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (77% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fana vs Gneist — FAQ
Who will win Fana vs Gneist?
Our statistical model makes Gneist the most likely result at 43%. Full probabilities: Fana 38%, draw 20%, Gneist 43%.
Will both teams score in Fana vs Gneist?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fana vs Gneist?
Expected goals are 2.5 for Fana and 2.68 for Gneist — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fana vs Gneist?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for Fana or draw is 56%.