Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United
Model pick: Ebbsfleet United (47%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.39 – 1.9
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Farnborough | Ebbsfleet United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.8 | 2.0 / 1.6 |
*Farnborough shown at home, Ebbsfleet United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Farnborough — last 5
WWLWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of home games go over 2.5.
Ebbsfleet United — last 5
WLDWL
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Farnborough (home) | Ebbsfleet United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 26% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 60% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.39 vs 1.9):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — Farnborough or draw (1X) | 51% |
| Double chance — Ebbsfleet United or draw (X2) | 72% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Farnborough clean sheet | 15% |
| Ebbsfleet United clean sheet | 25% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ebbsfleet United is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Despite playing away, Ebbsfleet United edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United — FAQ
Who will win Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
Our statistical model makes Ebbsfleet United the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Farnborough 29%, draw 24%, Ebbsfleet United 47%.
Will both teams score in Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
Expected goals are 1.39 for Farnborough and 1.9 for Ebbsfleet United — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Farnborough vs Ebbsfleet United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for Farnborough or draw is 51%.