Farnham vs Billericay Town Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Farnham vs Billericay Town
Model pick: Billericay Town (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.55 – 1.12
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Farnham | Billericay Town |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 0.6 |
*Farnham shown at home, Billericay Town shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Farnham — last 5
WDDLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Billericay Town — last 5
LWWWL
On the road: clean sheet 17% of the time; 63% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Farnham (home) | Billericay Town (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 63% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.55 vs 1.12):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — Farnham or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Billericay Town or draw (X2) | 82% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Farnham clean sheet | 33% |
| Billericay Town clean sheet | 58% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Billericay Town is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Despite playing away, Billericay Town edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Farnham vs Billericay Town — FAQ
Who will win Farnham vs Billericay Town?
Our statistical model makes Billericay Town the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Farnham 20%, draw 33%, Billericay Town 47%.
Will both teams score in Farnham vs Billericay Town?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Farnham vs Billericay Town?
Expected goals are 0.55 for Farnham and 1.12 for Billericay Town — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Farnham vs Billericay Town?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for Farnham or draw is 50%.