Farnham vs Torquay United Prediction & Preview
National League N/S (England) · Aug 31, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NATIONAL LEAGUE N/S (ENGLAND)
Farnham vs Torquay United
Model pick: Torquay United (57%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.93 – 1.96
Total goals: 2.9
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Farnham | Torquay United |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
*Farnham shown at home, Torquay United shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Farnham — last 5
DLLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Torquay United — last 5
WDWDL
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Farnham (home) | Torquay United (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 75% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 56% |
National League N/S (England) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.79
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 54%
Use these National League N/S (England) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.93 vs 1.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — Farnham or draw (1X) | 39% |
| Double chance — Torquay United or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 78% / 22% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 33% / 67% |
| Farnham clean sheet | 14% |
| Torquay United clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Torquay United is the model's most likely outcome at
57%. Despite playing away, Torquay United edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Farnham vs Torquay United — FAQ
Who will win Farnham vs Torquay United?
Our statistical model makes Torquay United the most likely result at 57%. Full probabilities: Farnham 19%, draw 23%, Torquay United 57%.
Will both teams score in Farnham vs Torquay United?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Farnham vs Torquay United?
Expected goals are 0.93 for Farnham and 1.96 for Torquay United — about 2.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Farnham vs Torquay United?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (11%). Double chance for Farnham or draw is 39%.