Farsta vs Nykopings Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 14, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Farsta vs Nykopings
Model pick: Farsta (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.38 – 0.26
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 37%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Farsta | Nykopings |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 1.5 | 0.67 / 1.0 |
*Farsta shown at home, Nykopings shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Farsta — last 5
DD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Nykopings — last 5
LLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Farsta (home) | Nykopings (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.38 vs 0.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (20%) |
| Double chance — Farsta or draw (1X) | 97% |
| Double chance — Nykopings or draw (X2) | 15% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 88% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| Farsta clean sheet | 77% |
| Nykopings clean sheet | 9% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Farsta is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Farsta are backed at home, where they average 1.0 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Farsta vs Nykopings — FAQ
Who will win Farsta vs Nykopings?
Our statistical model makes Farsta the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Farsta 80%, draw 16%, Nykopings 4%.
Will both teams score in Farsta vs Nykopings?
The model gives a 37% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Farsta vs Nykopings?
Expected goals are 2.38 for Farsta and 0.26 for Nykopings — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Farsta vs Nykopings?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (20%). Double chance for Farsta or draw is 97%.