Favoritner vs Leobendorf Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 17:10 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
Favoritner vs Leobendorf
Model pick: Leobendorf (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.24 – 1.01
Total goals: 1.2
Over 2.5: 26%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Favoritner | Leobendorf |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.2 / 0.8 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
*Favoritner shown at home, Leobendorf shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Favoritner — last 5
LWLLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Leobendorf — last 5
DWDLD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Favoritner (home) | Leobendorf (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 50% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.24 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (29%) |
| Double chance — Favoritner or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Leobendorf or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 64% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 36% / 64% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 4% / 96% |
| Favoritner clean sheet | 36% |
| Leobendorf clean sheet | 79% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Leobendorf is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Leobendorf edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (74% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Favoritner vs Leobendorf — FAQ
Who will win Favoritner vs Leobendorf?
Our statistical model makes Leobendorf the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Favoritner 11%, draw 36%, Leobendorf 53%.
Will both teams score in Favoritner vs Leobendorf?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Favoritner vs Leobendorf?
Expected goals are 0.24 for Favoritner and 1.01 for Leobendorf — about 1.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Favoritner vs Leobendorf?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (29%). Double chance for Favoritner or draw is 45%.