FBK Karlstad vs Pitea Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Sweden) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 11:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (SWEDEN)
FBK Karlstad vs Pitea
Model pick: Draw (49%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.42 – 0.41
Total goals: 0.8
Over 2.5: 17%
Both teams score: 30%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FBK Karlstad | Pitea |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.6 | 0.4 / 1.4 |
*FBK Karlstad shown at home, Pitea shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FBK Karlstad — last 5
LDWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Pitea — last 5
LDDLD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FBK Karlstad (home) | Pitea (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Division 1 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.95
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 32%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 57%
Use these Division 1 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.42 vs 0.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (44%) |
| Double chance — FBK Karlstad or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Pitea or draw (X2) | 75% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 49% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| FBK Karlstad clean sheet | 66% |
| Pitea clean sheet | 66% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
49%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (83% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FBK Karlstad vs Pitea — FAQ
Who will win FBK Karlstad vs Pitea?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 49%. Full probabilities: FBK Karlstad 26%, draw 49%, Pitea 26%.
Will both teams score in FBK Karlstad vs Pitea?
The model gives a 30% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FBK Karlstad vs Pitea?
Expected goals are 0.42 for FBK Karlstad and 0.41 for Pitea — about 0.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FBK Karlstad vs Pitea?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (44%). Double chance for FBK Karlstad or draw is 76%.