FC Andorra vs Ceuta Prediction & Preview
Segunda (Spain) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA (SPAIN)
FC Andorra vs Ceuta
Model pick: FC Andorra (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.72 – 1.04
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Andorra | Ceuta |
|---|
| League position | #22 (0 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 1.0 |
*FC Andorra shown at home, Ceuta shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Andorra — last 5
WDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Ceuta — last 5
WLLWW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 45% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Andorra (home) | Ceuta (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 45% |
Segunda (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.29
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Segunda (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.72 vs 1.04):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — FC Andorra or draw (1X) | 77% |
| Double chance — Ceuta or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 30% / 70% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 35% |
| Ceuta clean sheet | 18% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Andorra is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. FC Andorra are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Andorra vs Ceuta — FAQ
Who will win FC Andorra vs Ceuta?
Our statistical model makes FC Andorra the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: FC Andorra 50%, draw 25%, Ceuta 24%.
Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs Ceuta?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Andorra vs Ceuta?
Expected goals are 1.72 for FC Andorra and 1.04 for Ceuta — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Andorra vs Ceuta?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for FC Andorra or draw is 77%.