FC Andorra vs Eibar Prediction & Preview
Segunda (Spain) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SEGUNDA (SPAIN)
FC Andorra vs Eibar
Model pick: FC Andorra (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.09
Total goals: 2.4
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Andorra | Eibar |
|---|
| League position | #8 (3 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 5.0 / 1.0 | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.8 | 1.8 / 0.8 |
*FC Andorra shown at home, Eibar shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Andorra — last 5
DWLWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 42% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Eibar — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Andorra (home) | Eibar (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (5.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 42% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 41% |
Segunda (Spain) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.29
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 30%
Away wins: 25%
Over 2.5: 40%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Segunda (Spain) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 1.09):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — FC Andorra or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Eibar or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 68% / 32% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 21% / 79% |
| FC Andorra clean sheet | 34% |
| Eibar clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Andorra is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. FC Andorra are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Andorra vs Eibar — FAQ
Who will win FC Andorra vs Eibar?
Our statistical model makes FC Andorra the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: FC Andorra 39%, draw 29%, Eibar 32%.
Will both teams score in FC Andorra vs Eibar?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Andorra vs Eibar?
Expected goals are 1.26 for FC Andorra and 1.09 for Eibar — about 2.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Andorra vs Eibar?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for FC Andorra or draw is 68%.