FC Astana 2 vs Taraz Prediction & Preview
1st Division (Kazakhstan) · Sep 03, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1ST DIVISION (KAZAKHSTAN)
FC Astana 2 vs Taraz
Model pick: FC Astana 2 (39%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.3 – 1.15
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 47%
Both teams score: 52%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Astana 2 | Taraz |
|---|
| League position | #8 (26 pts) | #5 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 1.7 | 1.0 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 20% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 3.0 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*FC Astana 2 shown at home, Taraz shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Astana 2 — last 5
LWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Taraz — last 5
WLDDW
On the road: clean sheet 18% of the time; 43% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Astana 2 (home) | Taraz (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-3 in 10 (2.0 / 1.7 goals per game) | 2-2-6 in 10 (1.0 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 18% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 43% |
1st Division (Kazakhstan) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 52%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 52%
Use these 1st Division (Kazakhstan) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.3 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — FC Astana 2 or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Taraz or draw (X2) | 60% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 73% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 70% / 30% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 23% / 77% |
| FC Astana 2 clean sheet | 32% |
| Taraz clean sheet | 27% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Astana 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
39%. FC Astana 2 are backed at home, where they average 2.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (53% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ FC Astana 2 vs Taraz — FAQ
Who will win FC Astana 2 vs Taraz?
Our statistical model makes FC Astana 2 the most likely result at 39%. Full probabilities: FC Astana 2 39%, draw 28%, Taraz 33%.
Will both teams score in FC Astana 2 vs Taraz?
The model gives a 52% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Astana 2 vs Taraz?
Expected goals are 1.3 for FC Astana 2 and 1.15 for Taraz — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Astana 2 vs Taraz?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for FC Astana 2 or draw is 67%.