FC Dabas vs Ujpest II Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
FC Dabas vs Ujpest II
Model pick: FC Dabas (50%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.57 – 3.89
Total goals: 8.5
Over 2.5: 90%
Both teams score: 83%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Dabas | Ujpest II |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.4 / 1.8 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
*FC Dabas shown at home, Ujpest II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Dabas — last 5
LWWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Ujpest II — last 5
WWDLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Dabas (home) | Ujpest II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 50% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.57 vs 3.89):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-3 (4%) |
| Double chance — FC Dabas or draw (1X) | 66% |
| Double chance — Ujpest II or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 100% / 0% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| FC Dabas clean sheet | 2% |
| Ujpest II clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Dabas is the model's most likely outcome at
50%. FC Dabas are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 8.5, this shapes as an open game (90% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Dabas vs Ujpest II — FAQ
Who will win FC Dabas vs Ujpest II?
Our statistical model makes FC Dabas the most likely result at 50%. Full probabilities: FC Dabas 50%, draw 16%, Ujpest II 35%.
Will both teams score in FC Dabas vs Ujpest II?
The model gives a 83% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Dabas vs Ujpest II?
Expected goals are 4.57 for FC Dabas and 3.89 for Ujpest II — about 8.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Dabas vs Ujpest II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-3 (4%). Double chance for FC Dabas or draw is 66%.