FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Germany) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (GERMANY)
FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach
Model pick: FC Gutersloh (96%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.28 – 0.38
Total goals: 5.7
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 43%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Gutersloh | Bergisch Gladbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.2 / 0.4 | 1.8 / 2.8 |
*FC Gutersloh shown at home, Bergisch Gladbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Gutersloh — last 5
WDWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Bergisch Gladbach — last 5
LWDWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Gutersloh (home) | Bergisch Gladbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 25% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Regionalliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.28 vs 0.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — FC Gutersloh or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Bergisch Gladbach or draw (X2) | 2% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| FC Gutersloh clean sheet | 68% |
| Bergisch Gladbach clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Gutersloh is the model's most likely outcome at
96%. FC Gutersloh are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.7, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach — FAQ
Who will win FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach?
Our statistical model makes FC Gutersloh the most likely result at 96%. Full probabilities: FC Gutersloh 96%, draw 3%, Bergisch Gladbach 1%.
Will both teams score in FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach?
The model gives a 43% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach?
Expected goals are 5.28 for FC Gutersloh and 0.38 for Bergisch Gladbach — about 5.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Gutersloh vs Bergisch Gladbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-0 (13%). Double chance for FC Gutersloh or draw is 100%.