FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod Prediction & Preview
Denmark Cup · Aug 26, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DENMARK CUP
FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod
Model pick: Draw (80%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.05 – 0.13
Total goals: 0.2
Over 2.5: 2%
Both teams score: 9%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Helsingør | Horsholm-Usserod |
|---|
| League position | #5 (7 pts) | #7 (5 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 1.0 | 2.5 / 2.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 |
*FC Helsingør shown at home, Horsholm-Usserod shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Helsingør — last 5
WWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 40% of the time; 35% of home games go over 2.5.
Horsholm-Usserod — last 5
DWWDD
On the road: clean sheet 40% of the time; 40% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Helsingør (home) | Horsholm-Usserod (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (2.5 / 2.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 40% |
Denmark Cup — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.86
Home wins: 20%
Draws: 9%
Away wins: 70%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Denmark Cup averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.05 vs 0.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (84%) |
| Double chance — FC Helsingør or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Horsholm-Usserod or draw (X2) | 96% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 16% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 1% / 99% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 0% / 100% |
| FC Helsingør clean sheet | 88% |
| Horsholm-Usserod clean sheet | 95% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Draw is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. The model sees no clear favourite — a draw is live. Goals may be harder to come by (98% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
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❓ FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod — FAQ
Who will win FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod?
Our statistical model makes Draw the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: FC Helsingør 6%, draw 80%, Horsholm-Usserod 14%.
Will both teams score in FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod?
The model gives a 9% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod?
Expected goals are 0.05 for FC Helsingør and 0.13 for Horsholm-Usserod — about 0.2 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Helsingør vs Horsholm-Usserod?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (84%). Double chance for FC Helsingør or draw is 88%.