FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 04, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen
Model pick: Nottingen (66%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 2.56
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 62%
Both teams score: 56%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Holzhausen | Nottingen |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.33 / 2.67 | 1.33 / 1.67 |
*FC Holzhausen shown at home, Nottingen shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Holzhausen — last 5
DWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Nottingen — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Holzhausen (home) | Nottingen (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.58
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 66%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 2.56):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (10%) |
| Double chance — FC Holzhausen or draw (1X) | 29% |
| Double chance — Nottingen or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 84% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 47% / 53% |
| FC Holzhausen clean sheet | 8% |
| Nottingen clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Nottingen is the model's most likely outcome at
66%. Despite playing away, Nottingen edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (62% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen — FAQ
Who will win FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen?
Our statistical model makes Nottingen the most likely result at 66%. Full probabilities: FC Holzhausen 15%, draw 19%, Nottingen 66%.
Will both teams score in FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen?
The model gives a 56% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen?
Expected goals are 0.98 for FC Holzhausen and 2.56 for Nottingen — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Holzhausen vs Nottingen?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (10%). Double chance for FC Holzhausen or draw is 29%.