FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica Prediction & Preview
Super Liga (Slovakia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SUPER LIGA (SLOVAKIA)
FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica
Model pick: FC Košice (51%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.11 – 1.38
Total goals: 3.5
Over 2.5: 61%
Both teams score: 60%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Košice | Dukla Banská Bystrica |
|---|
| League position | #8 (6 pts) | #10 (4 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.0 / 2.5 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 3.0 / 1.8 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
*FC Košice shown at home, Dukla Banská Bystrica shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Košice — last 5
DWWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 21% of the time; 63% of home games go over 2.5.
Dukla Banská Bystrica — last 5
LLWWD
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Košice (home) | Dukla Banská Bystrica (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (2.0 / 2.5 goals per game) | 1-0-2 in 3 (0.3 / 1.7 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 21% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 59% |
Super Liga (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.77
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Super Liga (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.11 vs 1.38):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — FC Košice or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Double chance — Dukla Banská Bystrica or draw (X2) | 46% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 86% / 14% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 46% / 54% |
| FC Košice clean sheet | 25% |
| Dukla Banská Bystrica clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Košice is the model's most likely outcome at
51%. FC Košice are backed at home, where they average 1.5 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.5, this shapes as an open game (61% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica — FAQ
Who will win FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
Our statistical model makes FC Košice the most likely result at 51%. Full probabilities: FC Košice 51%, draw 23%, Dukla Banská Bystrica 26%.
Will both teams score in FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
The model gives a 60% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
Expected goals are 2.11 for FC Košice and 1.38 for Dukla Banská Bystrica — about 3.5 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Košice vs Dukla Banská Bystrica?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for FC Košice or draw is 75%.