FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn
Model pick: Dornbirn (84%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.13 – 2.41
Total goals: 2.5
Over 2.5: 49%
Both teams score: 29%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Lustenau | Dornbirn |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 2.6 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*FC Lustenau shown at home, Dornbirn shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Lustenau — last 5
LLLDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Dornbirn — last 5
LLDWW
On the road: clean sheet 24% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Lustenau (home) | Dornbirn (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 24% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 54% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.35
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 55%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.13 vs 2.41):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-2 (23%) |
| Double chance — FC Lustenau or draw (1X) | 12% |
| Double chance — Dornbirn or draw (X2) | 99% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 89% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 72% / 28% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 25% / 75% |
| FC Lustenau clean sheet | 9% |
| Dornbirn clean sheet | 88% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Dornbirn is the model's most likely outcome at
84%. Despite playing away, Dornbirn edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (51% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn — FAQ
Who will win FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn?
Our statistical model makes Dornbirn the most likely result at 84%. Full probabilities: FC Lustenau 2%, draw 14%, Dornbirn 84%.
Will both teams score in FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn?
The model gives a 29% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn?
Expected goals are 0.13 for FC Lustenau and 2.41 for Dornbirn — about 2.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Lustenau vs Dornbirn?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-2 (23%). Double chance for FC Lustenau or draw is 12%.