FC Lustenau vs Kufstein Prediction & Preview
Regionalliga (Austria) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
REGIONALLIGA (AUSTRIA)
FC Lustenau vs Kufstein
Model pick: Kufstein (68%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.06 – 1.36
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Lustenau | Kufstein |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.33 / 4.0 | 1.75 / 1.0 |
*FC Lustenau shown at home, Kufstein shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Lustenau — last 5
LLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Kufstein — last 5
WDWD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Lustenau (home) | Kufstein (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
Regionalliga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.62
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 49%
Use these Regionalliga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.06 vs 1.36):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (33%) |
| Double chance — FC Lustenau or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — Kufstein or draw (X2) | 98% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| FC Lustenau clean sheet | 26% |
| Kufstein clean sheet | 94% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Kufstein is the model's most likely outcome at
68%. Despite playing away, Kufstein edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Lustenau vs Kufstein — FAQ
Who will win FC Lustenau vs Kufstein?
Our statistical model makes Kufstein the most likely result at 68%. Full probabilities: FC Lustenau 3%, draw 29%, Kufstein 68%.
Will both teams score in FC Lustenau vs Kufstein?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Lustenau vs Kufstein?
Expected goals are 0.06 for FC Lustenau and 1.36 for Kufstein — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Lustenau vs Kufstein?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (33%). Double chance for FC Lustenau or draw is 28%.