FC Monheim vs Holzheim Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Sep 06, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
FC Monheim vs Holzheim
Model pick: FC Monheim (95%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.05 – 0.15
Total goals: 4.2
Over 2.5: 68%
Both teams score: 32%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Monheim | Holzheim |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 2.2 | 1.33 / 3.67 |
*FC Monheim shown at home, Holzheim shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Monheim — last 5
LLWDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 50% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Holzheim — last 5
LLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Monheim (home) | Holzheim (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 50% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 25% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.61
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 63%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.05 vs 0.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (17%) |
| Double chance — FC Monheim or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Holzheim or draw (X2) | 3% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 97% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 92% / 8% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 60% / 40% |
| FC Monheim clean sheet | 86% |
| Holzheim clean sheet | 2% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Monheim is the model's most likely outcome at
95%. FC Monheim are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 4.2, this shapes as an open game (68% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FC Monheim vs Holzheim — FAQ
Who will win FC Monheim vs Holzheim?
Our statistical model makes FC Monheim the most likely result at 95%. Full probabilities: FC Monheim 95%, draw 4%, Holzheim 1%.
Will both teams score in FC Monheim vs Holzheim?
The model gives a 32% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Monheim vs Holzheim?
Expected goals are 4.05 for FC Monheim and 0.15 for Holzheim — about 4.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Monheim vs Holzheim?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (17%). Double chance for FC Monheim or draw is 100%.