FC Schwaig vs Erlbach Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 17:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
FC Schwaig vs Erlbach
Model pick: Erlbach (36%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.94 – 1.02
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 47%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Schwaig | Erlbach |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
*FC Schwaig shown at home, Erlbach shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Schwaig — last 5
WWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 20% of the time; 40% of home games go over 2.5.
Erlbach — last 5
WLWDD
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Schwaig (home) | Erlbach (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 20% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 38%
Draws: 31%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 56%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.94 vs 1.02):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — FC Schwaig or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — Erlbach or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 58% / 42% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| FC Schwaig clean sheet | 36% |
| Erlbach clean sheet | 39% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Erlbach is the model's most likely outcome at
36%. Despite playing away, Erlbach edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ FC Schwaig vs Erlbach — FAQ
Who will win FC Schwaig vs Erlbach?
Our statistical model makes Erlbach the most likely result at 36%. Full probabilities: FC Schwaig 32%, draw 32%, Erlbach 36%.
Will both teams score in FC Schwaig vs Erlbach?
The model gives a 47% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Schwaig vs Erlbach?
Expected goals are 0.94 for FC Schwaig and 1.02 for Erlbach — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Schwaig vs Erlbach?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for FC Schwaig or draw is 63%.