FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 14:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan
Model pick: FC Sevastopol (90%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.33 – 1.08
Total goals: 6.4
Over 2.5: 82%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Sevastopol | Astrakhan |
|---|
| League position | #1 (41 pts) | #13 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.6 / 0.6 | 1.0 / 1.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 86% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.5 / 1.5 | 1.67 / 1.67 |
*FC Sevastopol shown at home, Astrakhan shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Sevastopol — last 5
LWWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of home games go over 2.5.
Astrakhan — last 5
LWL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Sevastopol (home) | Astrakhan (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-1-0 in 7 (1.6 / 0.6 goals per game) | 2-1-3 in 6 (1.0 / 1.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 100% | 100% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.33 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-1 (7%) |
| Double chance — FC Sevastopol or draw (1X) | 98% |
| Double chance — Astrakhan or draw (X2) | 6% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 96% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 87% / 13% |
| FC Sevastopol clean sheet | 34% |
| Astrakhan clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Sevastopol is the model's most likely outcome at
90%. FC Sevastopol are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 6.4, this shapes as an open game (82% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan — FAQ
Who will win FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?
Our statistical model makes FC Sevastopol the most likely result at 90%. Full probabilities: FC Sevastopol 90%, draw 6%, Astrakhan 4%.
Will both teams score in FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?
Expected goals are 5.33 for FC Sevastopol and 1.08 for Astrakhan — about 6.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Sevastopol vs Astrakhan?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-1 (7%). Double chance for FC Sevastopol or draw is 98%.