FC Slonim vs Orsha Prediction & Preview
Division 1 (Belarus) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 1 (BELARUS)
FC Slonim vs Orsha
Model pick: FC Slonim (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.93 – 1.37
Total goals: 3.3
Over 2.5: 59%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Slonim | Orsha |
|---|
| League position | #5 (36 pts) | #15 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.9 / 1.3 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.6 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*FC Slonim shown at home, Orsha shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Slonim — last 5
LLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 14% of the time; 57% of home games go over 2.5.
Orsha — last 5
WWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 33% of the time; 67% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Slonim (home) | Orsha (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-2-3 in 10 (1.9 / 1.3 goals per game) | 4-2-4 in 10 (1.2 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 14% | 33% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 67% |
Division 1 (Belarus) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.1
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 39%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 60%
Use these Division 1 (Belarus) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.93 vs 1.37):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — FC Slonim or draw (1X) | 73% |
| Double chance — Orsha or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 84% / 16% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| FC Slonim clean sheet | 25% |
| Orsha clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Slonim is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. FC Slonim are backed at home, where they average 1.4 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.3, this shapes as an open game (59% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ FC Slonim vs Orsha — FAQ
Who will win FC Slonim vs Orsha?
Our statistical model makes FC Slonim the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: FC Slonim 48%, draw 24%, Orsha 28%.
Will both teams score in FC Slonim vs Orsha?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FC Slonim vs Orsha?
Expected goals are 1.93 for FC Slonim and 1.37 for Orsha — about 3.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Slonim vs Orsha?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for FC Slonim or draw is 73%.