FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island Prediction & Preview
USL 1 (USA) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 00:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
USL 1 (USA)
FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island
Model pick: FC Tulsa (41%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.17 – 0.25
Total goals: 1.4
Over 2.5: 30%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FC Tulsa | Rhode Island |
|---|
| League position | #4 (32 pts) | #6 (28 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.6 |
| Win rate this season* | 45% | 33% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 1.2 / 0.8 |
*FC Tulsa shown at home, Rhode Island shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FC Tulsa — last 5
WWLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 75% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Rhode Island — last 5
WLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 25% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FC Tulsa (home) | Rhode Island (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-3 in 11 (1.0 / 0.6 goals per game) | 3-0-6 in 9 (1.3 / 1.6 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 75% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 25% |
USL 1 (USA) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.52
Home wins: 48%
Draws: 22%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 44%
BTTS: 47%
Use these USL 1 (USA) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.17 vs 0.25):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (28%) |
| Double chance — FC Tulsa or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Rhode Island or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 42% / 58% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| FC Tulsa clean sheet | 78% |
| Rhode Island clean sheet | 31% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FC Tulsa is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. FC Tulsa are backed at home, where they average 0.5 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (70% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island — FAQ
Who will win FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island?
Our statistical model makes FC Tulsa the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: FC Tulsa 41%, draw 30%, Rhode Island 28%.
Will both teams score in FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island?
Expected goals are 1.17 for FC Tulsa and 0.25 for Rhode Island — about 1.4 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FC Tulsa vs Rhode Island?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (28%). Double chance for FC Tulsa or draw is 92%.