FCI Levadia vs Trans Prediction & Preview
Meistriliiga (Estonia) · Aug 21, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
MEISTRILIIGA (ESTONIA)
FCI Levadia vs Trans
Model pick: FCI Levadia (73%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.56 – 0.68
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 50%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FCI Levadia | Trans |
|---|
| League position | #1 (50 pts) | #10 (16 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.8 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 2.8 |
| Win rate this season* | 60% | 9% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 0.8 |
*FCI Levadia shown at home, Trans shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FCI Levadia — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 49% of the time; 69% of home games go over 2.5.
Trans — last 5
WDWLW
On the road: clean sheet 26% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FCI Levadia (home) | Trans (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-3-1 in 10 (2.8 / 0.7 goals per game) | 1-1-9 in 11 (0.4 / 2.8 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 49% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 61% |
Meistriliiga (Estonia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.22
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 19%
Away wins: 38%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 51%
Use these Meistriliiga (Estonia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.56 vs 0.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — FCI Levadia or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Trans or draw (X2) | 22% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 86% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 41% / 59% |
| FCI Levadia clean sheet | 51% |
| Trans clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FCI Levadia is the model's most likely outcome at
73%. FCI Levadia are backed at home, where they average 2.7 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FCI Levadia vs Trans — FAQ
Who will win FCI Levadia vs Trans?
Our statistical model makes FCI Levadia the most likely result at 73%. Full probabilities: FCI Levadia 73%, draw 17%, Trans 10%.
Will both teams score in FCI Levadia vs Trans?
The model gives a 50% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FCI Levadia vs Trans?
Expected goals are 2.56 for FCI Levadia and 0.68 for Trans — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FCI Levadia vs Trans?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for FCI Levadia or draw is 92%.