FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 03, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa
Model pick: FCSB (54%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.86 – 0.95
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 53%
Both teams score: 54%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FCSB | FCV Farul Constanţa |
|---|
| League position | #27 (7 pts) | #6 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.5 / 2.0 | 1.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 25% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.6 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
*FCSB shown at home, FCV Farul Constanţa shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FCSB — last 5
DLWLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
FCV Farul Constanţa — last 5
LLWLW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FCSB (home) | FCV Farul Constanţa (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-2 in 4 (1.5 / 2.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (1.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 38% |
| Top scorer | – | Alexandru Isfan (10) |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.86 vs 0.95):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — FCSB or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — FCV Farul Constanţa or draw (X2) | 41% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| FCSB clean sheet | 39% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FCSB is the model's most likely outcome at
54%. FCSB are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (47% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa — FAQ
Who will win FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa?
Our statistical model makes FCSB the most likely result at 54%. Full probabilities: FCSB 54%, draw 25%, FCV Farul Constanţa 21%.
Will both teams score in FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa?
The model gives a 54% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa?
Expected goals are 1.86 for FCSB and 0.95 for FCV Farul Constanţa — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FCSB vs FCV Farul Constanţa?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for FCSB or draw is 81%.