FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani Prediction & Preview
Liga I (Romania) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA I (ROMANIA)
FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani
Model pick: FCV Farul Constanţa (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.61 – 1.01
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FCV Farul Constanţa | Botoşani |
|---|
| League position | #6 (9 pts) | #14 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 2.5 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 2.3 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.4 |
*FCV Farul Constanţa shown at home, Botoşani shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FCV Farul Constanţa — last 5
DWDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 31% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Botoşani — last 5
DLDLW
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FCV Farul Constanţa (home) | Botoşani (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-0-0 in 2 (2.5 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-2 in 3 (1.7 / 2.3 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 31% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 51% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 41% |
| Top scorer | Alexandru Isfan (10) | Sebastian Mailat (11) |
Liga I (Romania) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.39
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 43%
BTTS: 48%
Use these Liga I (Romania) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.61 vs 1.01):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — FCV Farul Constanţa or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Botoşani or draw (X2) | 49% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 74% / 26% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 27% / 73% |
| FCV Farul Constanţa clean sheet | 36% |
| Botoşani clean sheet | 20% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FCV Farul Constanţa is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. FCV Farul Constanţa are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani — FAQ
Who will win FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani?
Our statistical model makes FCV Farul Constanţa the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: FCV Farul Constanţa 48%, draw 26%, Botoşani 25%.
Will both teams score in FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani?
Expected goals are 1.61 for FCV Farul Constanţa and 1.01 for Botoşani — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FCV Farul Constanţa vs Botoşani?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for FCV Farul Constanţa or draw is 76%.