Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932 Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Aug 09, 2026 · kickoff 10:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932
Model pick: Feirense (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.04 – 0.96
Total goals: 2.0
Over 2.5: 40%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Feirense | Felgueiras 1932 |
|---|
| League position | #3 (0 pts) | #14 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.0 |
*Feirense shown at home, Felgueiras 1932 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Feirense — last 5
LDDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Felgueiras 1932 — last 5
LWDDD
On the road: clean sheet 28% of the time; 38% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Feirense (home) | Felgueiras 1932 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 38% |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.04 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (14%) |
| Double chance — Feirense or draw (1X) | 68% |
| Double chance — Felgueiras 1932 or draw (X2) | 63% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 69% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 59% / 41% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 14% / 86% |
| Feirense clean sheet | 38% |
| Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet | 35% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Feirense is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Feirense are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (60% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932 — FAQ
Who will win Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
Our statistical model makes Feirense the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Feirense 37%, draw 31%, Felgueiras 1932 31%.
Will both teams score in Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
Expected goals are 1.04 for Feirense and 0.96 for Felgueiras 1932 — about 2.0 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (14%). Double chance for Feirense or draw is 68%.