Feirense vs Porto II Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Aug 23, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Feirense vs Porto II
Model pick: Feirense (40%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.26 – 1.06
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 46%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Feirense | Porto II |
|---|
| League position | #14 (1 pts) | #18 (0 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 2.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.4 / 2.2 |
*Feirense shown at home, Porto II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Feirense — last 5
DWLDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 30% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Porto II — last 5
WLDLL
On the road: clean sheet 20% of the time; 54% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Feirense (home) | Porto II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-0 in 1 (0.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 0-0-1 in 1 (0.0 / 2.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 54% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 54% |
| Top scorer | – | Leonardo Vonic (4) |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.26 vs 1.06):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (13%) |
| Double chance — Feirense or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Double chance — Porto II or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 72% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| Feirense clean sheet | 35% |
| Porto II clean sheet | 28% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Feirense is the model's most likely outcome at
40%. Feirense are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (54% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Feirense vs Porto II — FAQ
Who will win Feirense vs Porto II?
Our statistical model makes Feirense the most likely result at 40%. Full probabilities: Feirense 40%, draw 29%, Porto II 32%.
Will both teams score in Feirense vs Porto II?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Feirense vs Porto II?
Expected goals are 1.26 for Feirense and 1.06 for Porto II — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Feirense vs Porto II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (13%). Double chance for Feirense or draw is 69%.