Feirense vs Sporting CP II Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Feirense vs Sporting CP II
Model pick: Sporting CP II (35%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.91 – 0.96
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 38%
Both teams score: 46%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Feirense | Sporting CP II |
|---|
| League position | #17 (1 pts) | #3 (9 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.0 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 50% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 1.4 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
*Feirense shown at home, Sporting CP II shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Feirense — last 5
LDLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 45% of home games go over 2.5.
Sporting CP II — last 5
DLWWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Feirense (home) | Sporting CP II (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 0-1-1 in 2 (0.0 / 0.5 goals per game) | 1-0-1 in 2 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 53% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 44% |
| Top scorer | – | Leonardo Vonic (4) |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.91 vs 0.96):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Feirense or draw (1X) | 65% |
| Double chance — Sporting CP II or draw (X2) | 67% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 56% / 44% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 12% / 88% |
| Feirense clean sheet | 38% |
| Sporting CP II clean sheet | 40% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sporting CP II is the model's most likely outcome at
35%. Despite playing away, Sporting CP II edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (62% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Feirense vs Sporting CP II — FAQ
Who will win Feirense vs Sporting CP II?
Our statistical model makes Sporting CP II the most likely result at 35%. Full probabilities: Feirense 32%, draw 32%, Sporting CP II 35%.
Will both teams score in Feirense vs Sporting CP II?
The model gives a 46% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Feirense vs Sporting CP II?
Expected goals are 0.91 for Feirense and 0.96 for Sporting CP II — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Feirense vs Sporting CP II?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (15%). Double chance for Feirense or draw is 65%.