Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS Prediction & Preview
Division2 (Portugal) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION2 (PORTUGAL)
Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS
Model pick: AVS (37%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.98 – 1.08
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 42%
Both teams score: 48%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Felgueiras 1932 | AVS |
|---|
| League position | #10 (1 pts) | #18 (21 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.4 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
*Felgueiras 1932 shown at home, AVS shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Felgueiras 1932 — last 5
DDDLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 38% of the time; 38% of home games go over 2.5.
AVS — last 5
LWWDL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 59% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Felgueiras 1932 (home) | AVS (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 38% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 59% |
Division2 (Portugal) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.47
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 27%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 47%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Division2 (Portugal) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.98 vs 1.08):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (14%) |
| Double chance — Felgueiras 1932 or draw (1X) | 63% |
| Double chance — AVS or draw (X2) | 68% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet | 34% |
| AVS clean sheet | 38% |
🎯 Our Verdict
AVS is the model's most likely outcome at
37%. Despite playing away, AVS edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (58% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS — FAQ
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
Our statistical model makes AVS the most likely result at 37%. Full probabilities: Felgueiras 1932 32%, draw 31%, AVS 37%.
Will both teams score in Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
The model gives a 48% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
Expected goals are 0.98 for Felgueiras 1932 and 1.08 for AVS — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Felgueiras 1932 vs AVS?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (14%). Double chance for Felgueiras 1932 or draw is 63%.