Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard Prediction & Preview
Nb III (Hungary) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB III (HUNGARY)
Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard
Model pick: Ferencvaros II (97%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 4.86 – 0.23
Total goals: 5.1
Over 2.5: 75%
Both teams score: 36%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ferencvaros II | Sarbogard |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.33 / 1.67 | 0.2 / 3.0 |
*Ferencvaros II shown at home, Sarbogard shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ferencvaros II — last 5
WDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Sarbogard — last 5
LLLLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ferencvaros II (home) | Sarbogard (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Nb III (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.3
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 17%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Nb III (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (4.86 vs 0.23):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 4-0 (15%) |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros II or draw (1X) | 100% |
| Double chance — Sarbogard or draw (X2) | 2% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 98% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 96% / 4% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Ferencvaros II clean sheet | 79% |
| Sarbogard clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ferencvaros II is the model's most likely outcome at
97%. Ferencvaros II are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 5.1, this shapes as an open game (75% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard — FAQ
Who will win Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros II the most likely result at 97%. Full probabilities: Ferencvaros II 97%, draw 3%, Sarbogard 1%.
Will both teams score in Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard?
The model gives a 36% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard?
Expected goals are 4.86 for Ferencvaros II and 0.23 for Sarbogard — about 5.1 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ferencvaros II vs Sarbogard?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 4-0 (15%). Double chance for Ferencvaros II or draw is 100%.