Ferencvaros vs Honvéd Prediction & Preview
NB I (Hungary) · Aug 22, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
NB I (HUNGARY)
Ferencvaros vs Honvéd
Model pick: Ferencvaros (65%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.19 – 0.76
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 54%
Both teams score: 51%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ferencvaros | Honvéd |
|---|
| League position | #12 (15 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.0 | 1.6 / 2.0 |
*Ferencvaros shown at home, Honvéd shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ferencvaros — last 5
DDWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 47% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Honvéd — last 5
LDDDL
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ferencvaros (home) | Honvéd (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-0 in 4 (1.8 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 47% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Top scorer | Lenny Joseph (2) | – |
NB I (Hungary) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.82
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 26%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 56%
Use these NB I (Hungary) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.19 vs 0.76):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-0 (13%) |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros or draw (1X) | 88% |
| Double chance — Honvéd or draw (X2) | 30% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 79% / 21% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 34% / 66% |
| Ferencvaros clean sheet | 47% |
| Honvéd clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ferencvaros is the model's most likely outcome at
65%. Ferencvaros are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (46% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Ferencvaros vs Honvéd — FAQ
Who will win Ferencvaros vs Honvéd?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros the most likely result at 65%. Full probabilities: Ferencvaros 65%, draw 21%, Honvéd 14%.
Will both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Honvéd?
The model gives a 51% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Ferencvaros vs Honvéd?
Expected goals are 2.19 for Ferencvaros and 0.76 for Honvéd — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ferencvaros vs Honvéd?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-0 (13%). Double chance for Ferencvaros or draw is 88%.