Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor Prediction & Preview
UEFA Europa League (Europe) · Aug 27, 2026 · kickoff 18:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE (EUROPE)
Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor
Model pick: Ferencvaros (46%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 0.05
Total goals: 1.5
Over 2.5: 31%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Ferencvaros | Trabzonspor |
|---|
| League position | #12 (15 pts) | #10 (1 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.8 / 1.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.0 |
*Ferencvaros shown at home, Trabzonspor shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Ferencvaros — last 5
WLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 47% of the time; 60% of home games go over 2.5.
Trabzonspor — last 5
LWLDL
On the road: clean sheet 27% of the time; 55% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Ferencvaros (home) | Trabzonspor (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-0 in 4 (1.8 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-1-0 in 1 (1.0 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 47% | 27% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 55% |
UEFA Europa League (Europe) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.68
Home wins: 53%
Draws: 21%
Away wins: 26%
Over 2.5: 53%
BTTS: 41%
Use these UEFA Europa League (Europe) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 0.05):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (32%) |
| Double chance — Ferencvaros or draw (1X) | 99% |
| Double chance — Trabzonspor or draw (X2) | 25% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 76% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 44% / 56% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 6% / 94% |
| Ferencvaros clean sheet | 95% |
| Trabzonspor clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ferencvaros is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Ferencvaros are backed at home, where they average 2.1 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (69% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor — FAQ
Who will win Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?
Our statistical model makes Ferencvaros the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: Ferencvaros 46%, draw 27%, Trabzonspor 27%.
Will both teams score in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?
Expected goals are 1.44 for Ferencvaros and 0.05 for Trabzonspor — about 1.5 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Ferencvaros vs Trabzonspor?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (32%). Double chance for Ferencvaros or draw is 99%.