Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary Prediction & Preview
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION INTERMEDIA (PARAGUAY)
Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary
Model pick: Fernando de la Mora (56%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.87 – 0.92
Total goals: 2.8
Over 2.5: 52%
Both teams score: 53%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fernando de la Mora | Tacuary |
|---|
| League position | #12 (23 pts) | #14 (18 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.0 / 1.4 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 20% | 10% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 0.6 / 1.8 |
*Fernando de la Mora shown at home, Tacuary shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fernando de la Mora — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 75% of home games go over 2.5.
Tacuary — last 5
LWLLL
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 44% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fernando de la Mora (home) | Tacuary (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-4-4 in 10 (1.0 / 1.4 goals per game) | 1-5-4 in 10 (1.2 / 1.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 44% |
Division Intermedia (Paraguay) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.42
Home wins: 36%
Draws: 34%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 42%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division Intermedia (Paraguay) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.87 vs 0.92):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (11%) |
| Double chance — Fernando de la Mora or draw (1X) | 82% |
| Double chance — Tacuary or draw (X2) | 40% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 78% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 31% / 69% |
| Fernando de la Mora clean sheet | 40% |
| Tacuary clean sheet | 15% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fernando de la Mora is the model's most likely outcome at
56%. Fernando de la Mora are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (48% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
🔌 Football Predictions API — for developers
Want this data in your own app or model? Get win probabilities (1X2), expected goals, over/under, BTTS and correct-score for 40+ leagues worldwide via a simple JSON API — the same GoalSoon model behind this page.
40+ leagues
1X2 · O/U · BTTS · xG
JSON REST
Free tier available
Get API access on RapidAPI →
❓ Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary — FAQ
Who will win Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary?
Our statistical model makes Fernando de la Mora the most likely result at 56%. Full probabilities: Fernando de la Mora 56%, draw 24%, Tacuary 20%.
Will both teams score in Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary?
The model gives a 53% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary?
Expected goals are 1.87 for Fernando de la Mora and 0.92 for Tacuary — about 2.8 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fernando de la Mora vs Tacuary?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%). Double chance for Fernando de la Mora or draw is 82%.