Fernwald vs Hanauer SC Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Fernwald vs Hanauer SC
Model pick: Fernwald (48%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.23 – 1.68
Total goals: 3.9
Over 2.5: 66%
Both teams score: 63%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fernwald | Hanauer SC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.0 / 2.0 |
*Fernwald shown at home, Hanauer SC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fernwald — last 5
WDDLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Hanauer SC — last 5
LWDDL
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fernwald (home) | Hanauer SC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.59
Home wins: 40%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 67%
BTTS: 64%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.23 vs 1.68):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (8%) |
| Double chance — Fernwald or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Hanauer SC or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 80% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 90% / 10% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 55% / 45% |
| Fernwald clean sheet | 19% |
| Hanauer SC clean sheet | 11% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fernwald is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Fernwald are backed at home, where they average 1.3 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.9, this shapes as an open game (66% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fernwald vs Hanauer SC — FAQ
Who will win Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
Our statistical model makes Fernwald the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Fernwald 48%, draw 22%, Hanauer SC 30%.
Will both teams score in Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
The model gives a 63% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
Expected goals are 2.23 for Fernwald and 1.68 for Hanauer SC — about 3.9 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (8%). Double chance for Fernwald or draw is 71%.