Fernwald vs Hanauer SC Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Fernwald vs Hanauer SC
Model pick: Hanauer SC (42%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.56 – 2.69
Total goals: 5.2
Over 2.5: 78%
Both teams score: 72%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fernwald | Hanauer SC |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.25 / 1.25 | 2.5 / 2.25 |
*Fernwald shown at home, Hanauer SC shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fernwald — last 5
WDDL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 33% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Hanauer SC — last 5
LWDD
On the road: clean sheet 50% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fernwald (home) | Hanauer SC (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 33% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 50% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.34
Home wins: 41%
Draws: 28%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 62%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.56 vs 2.69):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-2 (6%) |
| Double chance — Fernwald or draw (1X) | 57% |
| Double chance — Hanauer SC or draw (X2) | 61% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 82% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 97% / 3% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 77% / 23% |
| Fernwald clean sheet | 7% |
| Hanauer SC clean sheet | 8% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Hanauer SC is the model's most likely outcome at
42%. Despite playing away, Hanauer SC edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 5.2, this shapes as an open game (78% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fernwald vs Hanauer SC — FAQ
Who will win Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
Our statistical model makes Hanauer SC the most likely result at 42%. Full probabilities: Fernwald 38%, draw 20%, Hanauer SC 42%.
Will both teams score in Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
The model gives a 72% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
Expected goals are 2.56 for Fernwald and 2.69 for Hanauer SC — about 5.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fernwald vs Hanauer SC?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-2 (6%). Double chance for Fernwald or draw is 57%.