Fernwald vs Hunfelder Prediction & Preview
Oberliga (Germany) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
OBERLIGA (GERMANY)
Fernwald vs Hunfelder
Model pick: Fernwald (80%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 5.36 – 2.07
Total goals: 7.4
Over 2.5: 86%
Both teams score: 71%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fernwald | Hunfelder |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 |
*Fernwald shown at home, Hunfelder shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fernwald — last 5
W
At home: keeps a clean sheet 100% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Hunfelder — last 5
LW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fernwald (home) | Hunfelder (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 100% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 100% |
Oberliga (Germany) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.94
Home wins: 34%
Draws: 32%
Away wins: 34%
Over 2.5: 56%
BTTS: 52%
Use these Oberliga (Germany) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (5.36 vs 2.07):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 5-2 (5%) |
| Double chance — Fernwald or draw (1X) | 92% |
| Double chance — Hunfelder or draw (X2) | 16% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 92% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 99% / 1% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Fernwald clean sheet | 13% |
| Hunfelder clean sheet | 1% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Fernwald is the model's most likely outcome at
80%. Fernwald are backed at home, where they average 2.0 goals a game. With expected goals of 7.4, this shapes as an open game (86% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fernwald vs Hunfelder — FAQ
Who will win Fernwald vs Hunfelder?
Our statistical model makes Fernwald the most likely result at 80%. Full probabilities: Fernwald 80%, draw 10%, Hunfelder 10%.
Will both teams score in Fernwald vs Hunfelder?
The model gives a 71% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Fernwald vs Hunfelder?
Expected goals are 5.36 for Fernwald and 2.07 for Hunfelder — about 7.4 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fernwald vs Hunfelder?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 5-2 (5%). Double chance for Fernwald or draw is 92%.