FH vs Keflavík Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 30, 2026 · kickoff 17:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
FH vs Keflavík
Model pick: FH (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.82 – 1.15
Total goals: 3.0
Over 2.5: 55%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FH | Keflavík |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.0 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*FH shown at home, Keflavík shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FH — last 5
DDWLD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Keflavík — last 5
LWLWW
On the road: clean sheet 19% of the time; 60% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FH (home) | Keflavík (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 60% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.23
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.82 vs 1.15):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (11%) |
| Double chance — FH or draw (1X) | 76% |
| Double chance — Keflavík or draw (X2) | 47% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 80% / 20% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 35% / 65% |
| FH clean sheet | 32% |
| Keflavík clean sheet | 16% |
🎯 Our Verdict
FH is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. FH are backed at home, where they average 1.8 goals a game. With expected goals of 3.0, this shapes as an open game (55% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FH vs Keflavík — FAQ
Who will win FH vs Keflavík?
Our statistical model makes FH the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: FH 46%, draw 25%, Keflavík 29%.
Will both teams score in FH vs Keflavík?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FH vs Keflavík?
Expected goals are 1.82 for FH and 1.15 for Keflavík — about 3.0 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FH vs Keflavík?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (11%). Double chance for FH or draw is 76%.