FH vs KR Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 05, 2026 · kickoff 19:15 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
FH vs KR
Model pick: KR (46%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 2.13 – 1.59
Total goals: 3.7
Over 2.5: 64%
Both teams score: 70%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FH | KR |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 4.0 / 1.4 |
*FH shown at home, KR shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FH — last 5
LDWDD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
KR — last 5
WWDWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 56% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FH (home) | KR (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 56% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.21
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (2.13 vs 1.59):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 2-1 (9%) |
| Double chance — FH or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — KR or draw (X2) | 50% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 89% / 11% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 51% / 49% |
| FH clean sheet | 20% |
| KR clean sheet | 12% |
🎯 Our Verdict
KR is the model's most likely outcome at
46%. Despite playing away, KR edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.7, this shapes as an open game (64% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FH vs KR — FAQ
Who will win FH vs KR?
Our statistical model makes KR the most likely result at 46%. Full probabilities: FH 33%, draw 21%, KR 46%.
Will both teams score in FH vs KR?
The model gives a 70% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FH vs KR?
Expected goals are 2.13 for FH and 1.59 for KR — about 3.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FH vs KR?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 2-1 (9%). Double chance for FH or draw is 71%.