FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík Prediction & Preview
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 18:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
URVALSDEILD (ICELAND)
FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík
Model pick: Víkingur Reykjavík (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.44 – 1.77
Total goals: 3.2
Over 2.5: 58%
Both teams score: 59%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FH | Víkingur Reykjavík |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.8 / 0.2 | 1.8 / 2.0 |
*FH shown at home, Víkingur Reykjavík shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FH — last 5
WDDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 29% of the time; 61% of home games go over 2.5.
Víkingur Reykjavík — last 5
WLDLD
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 66% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FH (home) | Víkingur Reykjavík (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 66% |
Urvalsdeild (Iceland) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.21
Home wins: 45%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 30%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 61%
Use these Urvalsdeild (Iceland) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.44 vs 1.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (10%) |
| Double chance — FH or draw (1X) | 55% |
| Double chance — Víkingur Reykjavík or draw (X2) | 69% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 83% / 17% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 40% / 60% |
| FH clean sheet | 17% |
| Víkingur Reykjavík clean sheet | 24% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Víkingur Reykjavík is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Víkingur Reykjavík edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 3.2, this shapes as an open game (58% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík — FAQ
Who will win FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
Our statistical model makes Víkingur Reykjavík the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: FH 21%, draw 21%, Víkingur Reykjavík 59%.
Will both teams score in FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
The model gives a 59% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
Expected goals are 1.44 for FH and 1.77 for Víkingur Reykjavík — about 3.2 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FH vs Víkingur Reykjavík?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (10%). Double chance for FH or draw is 55%.