First Vienna vs Amstetten Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
First Vienna vs Amstetten
Model pick: First Vienna (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.47 – 1.13
Total goals: 2.6
Over 2.5: 50%
Both teams score: 57%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| First Vienna | Amstetten |
|---|
| League position | #5 (7 pts) | #8 (6 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 3.0 / 1.0 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Win rate this season* | 50% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
*First Vienna shown at home, Amstetten shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
First Vienna — last 5
WWLDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 52% of home games go over 2.5.
Amstetten — last 5
DDWDD
On the road: clean sheet 21% of the time; 61% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | First Vienna (home) | Amstetten (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-0 in 2 (3.0 / 1.0 goals per game) | 0-2-0 in 2 (1.5 / 1.5 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 21% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 61% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.98
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.47 vs 1.13):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — First Vienna or draw (1X) | 71% |
| Double chance — Amstetten or draw (X2) | 55% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 73% / 27% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 26% / 74% |
| First Vienna clean sheet | 32% |
| Amstetten clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
First Vienna is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. First Vienna are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (50% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ First Vienna vs Amstetten — FAQ
Who will win First Vienna vs Amstetten?
Our statistical model makes First Vienna the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: First Vienna 41%, draw 27%, Amstetten 32%.
Will both teams score in First Vienna vs Amstetten?
The model gives a 57% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in First Vienna vs Amstetten?
Expected goals are 1.47 for First Vienna and 1.13 for Amstetten — about 2.6 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in First Vienna vs Amstetten?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for First Vienna or draw is 71%.