First Vienna vs Liefering Prediction & Preview
1-Liga (Austria) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 08:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
1-LIGA (AUSTRIA)
First Vienna vs Liefering
Model pick: First Vienna (41%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.45 – 1.28
Total goals: 2.7
Over 2.5: 51%
Both teams score: 58%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| First Vienna | Liefering |
|---|
| League position | #6 (3 pts) | #11 (3 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 4.0 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 100% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.4 | 2.4 / 1.6 |
*First Vienna shown at home, Liefering shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
First Vienna — last 5
DLWWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 34% of the time; 51% of home games go over 2.5.
Liefering — last 5
WWLWL
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 58% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | First Vienna (home) | Liefering (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) | 1-0-0 in 1 (4.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 34% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 58% |
1-Liga (Austria) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.99
Home wins: 42%
Draws: 23%
Away wins: 35%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 56%
Use these 1-Liga (Austria) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.45 vs 1.28):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-1 (12%) |
| Double chance — First Vienna or draw (1X) | 67% |
| Double chance — Liefering or draw (X2) | 59% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 74% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 76% / 24% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 29% / 71% |
| First Vienna clean sheet | 28% |
| Liefering clean sheet | 23% |
🎯 Our Verdict
First Vienna is the model's most likely outcome at
41%. First Vienna are backed at home, where they average 1.6 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (49% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ First Vienna vs Liefering — FAQ
Who will win First Vienna vs Liefering?
Our statistical model makes First Vienna the most likely result at 41%. Full probabilities: First Vienna 41%, draw 26%, Liefering 33%.
Will both teams score in First Vienna vs Liefering?
The model gives a 58% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in First Vienna vs Liefering?
Expected goals are 1.45 for First Vienna and 1.28 for Liefering — about 2.7 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in First Vienna vs Liefering?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-1 (12%). Double chance for First Vienna or draw is 67%.