Fittja vs Ragsved Prediction & Preview
Division 2 (Sweden) · Aug 16, 2026 · kickoff 12:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
DIVISION 2 (SWEDEN)
Fittja vs Ragsved
Model pick: Ragsved (53%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.08 – 0.86
Total goals: 0.9
Over 2.5: 19%
Both teams score: 21%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Fittja | Ragsved |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.5 / 2.0 | 1.5 / 1.0 |
*Fittja shown at home, Ragsved shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Fittja — last 5
LW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Ragsved — last 5
DW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Fittja (home) | Ragsved (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
Division 2 (Sweden) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.17
Home wins: 51%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 24%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 58%
Use these Division 2 (Sweden) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.08 vs 0.86):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-0 (39%) |
| Double chance — Fittja or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Ragsved or draw (X2) | 97% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 58% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 24% / 76% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 2% / 98% |
| Fittja clean sheet | 42% |
| Ragsved clean sheet | 92% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Ragsved is the model's most likely outcome at
53%. Despite playing away, Ragsved edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (81% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Fittja vs Ragsved — FAQ
Who will win Fittja vs Ragsved?
Our statistical model makes Ragsved the most likely result at 53%. Full probabilities: Fittja 5%, draw 42%, Ragsved 53%.
Will both teams score in Fittja vs Ragsved?
The model gives a 21% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Fittja vs Ragsved?
Expected goals are 0.08 for Fittja and 0.86 for Ragsved — about 0.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Fittja vs Ragsved?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-0 (39%). Double chance for Fittja or draw is 45%.