FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Aug 15, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop
Model pick: Maykop (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 1.1
Total goals: 1.6
Over 2.5: 34%
Both teams score: 40%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FK Chayka 2 | Maykop |
|---|
| League position | #15 (7 pts) | #9 (22 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 0.9 / 1.9 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Win rate this season* | 14% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.5 / 2.0 | 1.33 / 2.33 |
*FK Chayka 2 shown at home, Maykop shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FK Chayka 2 — last 5
WLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Maykop — last 5
DLL
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FK Chayka 2 (home) | Maykop (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 1-1-5 in 7 (0.9 / 1.9 goals per game) | 3-2-3 in 8 (0.9 / 0.9 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.12
Home wins: 43%
Draws: 24%
Away wins: 33%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 60%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 1.1):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (22%) |
| Double chance — FK Chayka 2 or draw (1X) | 50% |
| Double chance — Maykop or draw (X2) | 83% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 67% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 48% / 52% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 8% / 92% |
| FK Chayka 2 clean sheet | 33% |
| Maykop clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Maykop is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Despite playing away, Maykop edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (66% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop — FAQ
Who will win FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop?
Our statistical model makes Maykop the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: FK Chayka 2 19%, draw 33%, Maykop 48%.
Will both teams score in FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop?
The model gives a 40% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop?
Expected goals are 0.51 for FK Chayka 2 and 1.1 for Maykop — about 1.6 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FK Chayka 2 vs Maykop?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Double chance for FK Chayka 2 or draw is 50%.