FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2 Prediction & Preview
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 15:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
FNL 2 DIVISION B (RUSSIA)
FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2
Model pick: Rostov 2 (67%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.34 – 1.72
Total goals: 2.1
Over 2.5: 41%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FK Chayka 2 | Rostov 2 |
|---|
| League position | #14 (14 pts) | #3 (43 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.7 | 2.0 / 1.2 |
| Win rate this season* | 22% | 64% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
*FK Chayka 2 shown at home, Rostov 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FK Chayka 2 — last 5
LLDWW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Rostov 2 — last 5
WWDDW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 75% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FK Chayka 2 (home) | Rostov 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 2-2-5 in 9 (1.1 / 1.7 goals per game) | 7-2-2 in 11 (2.0 / 1.2 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 75% |
FNL 2 Division B (Russia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.03
Home wins: 44%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 31%
Over 2.5: 60%
BTTS: 59%
Use these FNL 2 Division B (Russia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.34 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (22%) |
| Double chance — FK Chayka 2 or draw (1X) | 28% |
| Double chance — Rostov 2 or draw (X2) | 93% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 79% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 61% / 39% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 15% / 85% |
| FK Chayka 2 clean sheet | 18% |
| Rostov 2 clean sheet | 71% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Rostov 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
67%. Despite playing away, Rostov 2 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (59% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2 — FAQ
Who will win FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2?
Our statistical model makes Rostov 2 the most likely result at 67%. Full probabilities: FK Chayka 2 9%, draw 24%, Rostov 2 67%.
Will both teams score in FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2?
Expected goals are 0.34 for FK Chayka 2 and 1.72 for Rostov 2 — about 2.1 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FK Chayka 2 vs Rostov 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (22%). Double chance for FK Chayka 2 or draw is 28%.