FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B Prediction & Preview
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) · Aug 28, 2026 · kickoff 15:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
LIGA 3 (CZECH_REPUBLIC)
FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B
Model pick: Sigma Olomouc B (52%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.51 – 1.26
Total goals: 1.8
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FK Frydek-Mistek | Sigma Olomouc B |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 1.2 | 2.8 / 1.0 |
*FK Frydek-Mistek shown at home, Sigma Olomouc B shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FK Frydek-Mistek — last 5
LWDWL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 67% of the time; 33% of home games go over 2.5.
Sigma Olomouc B — last 5
LWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 25% of the time; 100% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FK Frydek-Mistek (home) | Sigma Olomouc B (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 67% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 33% | 100% |
Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 3.04
Home wins: 46%
Draws: 25%
Away wins: 29%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 47%
Use these Liga 3 (Czech_Republic) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.51 vs 1.26):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (21%) |
| Double chance — FK Frydek-Mistek or draw (1X) | 45% |
| Double chance — Sigma Olomouc B or draw (X2) | 85% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 70% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 53% / 47% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| FK Frydek-Mistek clean sheet | 28% |
| Sigma Olomouc B clean sheet | 60% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Sigma Olomouc B is the model's most likely outcome at
52%. Despite playing away, Sigma Olomouc B edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B — FAQ
Who will win FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?
Our statistical model makes Sigma Olomouc B the most likely result at 52%. Full probabilities: FK Frydek-Mistek 17%, draw 31%, Sigma Olomouc B 52%.
Will both teams score in FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?
Expected goals are 0.51 for FK Frydek-Mistek and 1.26 for Sigma Olomouc B — about 1.8 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FK Frydek-Mistek vs Sigma Olomouc B?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (21%). Double chance for FK Frydek-Mistek or draw is 45%.