FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2 Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Aug 17, 2026 · kickoff 16:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2
Model pick: Aalesund 2 (61%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.57 – 1.72
Total goals: 2.3
Over 2.5: 45%
Both teams score: 45%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FK Kvik | Aalesund 2 |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 2.0 / 3.5 | 2.33 / 1.33 |
*FK Kvik shown at home, Aalesund 2 shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FK Kvik — last 5
DL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Aalesund 2 — last 5
WLW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FK Kvik (home) | Aalesund 2 (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 0% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.67
Home wins: 50%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 36%
Over 2.5: 78%
BTTS: 68%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.57 vs 1.72):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (17%) |
| Double chance — FK Kvik or draw (1X) | 35% |
| Double chance — Aalesund 2 or draw (X2) | 88% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 77% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 67% / 33% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 20% / 80% |
| FK Kvik clean sheet | 18% |
| Aalesund 2 clean sheet | 57% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Aalesund 2 is the model's most likely outcome at
61%. Despite playing away, Aalesund 2 edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (55% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2 — FAQ
Who will win FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2?
Our statistical model makes Aalesund 2 the most likely result at 61%. Full probabilities: FK Kvik 14%, draw 25%, Aalesund 2 61%.
Will both teams score in FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2?
The model gives a 45% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2?
Expected goals are 0.57 for FK Kvik and 1.72 for Aalesund 2 — about 2.3 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FK Kvik vs Aalesund 2?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (17%). Double chance for FK Kvik or draw is 35%.