FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka Prediction & Preview
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) · Sep 02, 2026 · kickoff 14:30 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
SLOVAK CUP (SLOVAKIA)
FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka
Model pick: Petrzalka (62%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 0.37 – 1.54
Total goals: 1.9
Over 2.5: 39%
Both teams score: 39%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| FKM Nove Zamky | Petrzalka |
|---|
| League position | n/a | #1 (15 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | 2.0 / 0.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 100% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.4 / 0.6 | 3.4 / 0.6 |
*FKM Nove Zamky shown at home, Petrzalka shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
FKM Nove Zamky — last 5
DDWWD
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 0% of home games go over 2.5.
Petrzalka — last 5
WWWWW
On the road: clean sheet 57% of the time; 57% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | FKM Nove Zamky (home) | Petrzalka (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | 3-0-0 in 3 (2.0 / 0.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 100% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 0% | 57% |
Slovak Cup (Slovakia) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.1
Home wins: 13%
Draws: 0%
Away wins: 87%
Over 2.5: 77%
BTTS: 41%
Use these Slovak Cup (Slovakia) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (0.37 vs 1.54):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 0-1 (23%) |
| Double chance — FKM Nove Zamky or draw (1X) | 33% |
| Double chance — Petrzalka or draw (X2) | 91% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 75% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 57% / 43% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 13% / 87% |
| FKM Nove Zamky clean sheet | 21% |
| Petrzalka clean sheet | 69% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Petrzalka is the model's most likely outcome at
62%. Despite playing away, Petrzalka edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. Goals may be harder to come by (61% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka — FAQ
Who will win FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka?
Our statistical model makes Petrzalka the most likely result at 62%. Full probabilities: FKM Nove Zamky 11%, draw 27%, Petrzalka 62%.
Will both teams score in FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka?
The model gives a 39% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka?
Expected goals are 0.37 for FKM Nove Zamky and 1.54 for Petrzalka — about 1.9 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in FKM Nove Zamky vs Petrzalka?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 0-1 (23%). Double chance for FKM Nove Zamky or draw is 33%.