Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco Prediction & Preview
Prim B Metro (Argentina) · Aug 29, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIM B METRO (ARGENTINA)
Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco
Model pick: Flandria (48%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.1 – 0.64
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 36%
Both teams score: 44%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Flandria | San Martín Burzaco |
|---|
| League position | #18 (32 pts) | #14 (37 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 38% | 38% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 1.8 |
*Flandria shown at home, San Martín Burzaco shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Flandria — last 5
LLDDW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 25% of home games go over 2.5.
San Martín Burzaco — last 5
LDLDL
On the road: clean sheet 11% of the time; 39% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Flandria (home) | San Martín Burzaco (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 6-4-6 in 16 (1.1 / 1.1 goals per game) | 6-5-5 in 16 (0.9 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 11% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% | 39% |
Prim B Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.06
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Prim B Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.1 vs 0.64):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (19%) |
| Double chance — Flandria or draw (1X) | 79% |
| Double chance — San Martín Burzaco or draw (X2) | 54% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 52% / 48% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 10% / 90% |
| Flandria clean sheet | 53% |
| San Martín Burzaco clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Flandria is the model's most likely outcome at
48%. Flandria are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (64% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco — FAQ
Who will win Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco?
Our statistical model makes Flandria the most likely result at 48%. Full probabilities: Flandria 48%, draw 30%, San Martín Burzaco 22%.
Will both teams score in Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco?
The model gives a 44% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco?
Expected goals are 1.1 for Flandria and 0.64 for San Martín Burzaco — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Flandria vs San Martín Burzaco?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (19%). Double chance for Flandria or draw is 79%.