Flandria vs UAI Urquiza Prediction & Preview
Prim B Metro (Argentina) · Aug 08, 2026 · kickoff 20:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
PRIM B METRO (ARGENTINA)
Flandria vs UAI Urquiza
Model pick: Flandria (47%)
Goals: Under 2.5
BTTS: No
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.12 – 0.57
Total goals: 1.7
Over 2.5: 35%
Both teams score: 42%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Flandria | UAI Urquiza |
|---|
| League position | #18 (27 pts) | #21 (26 pts) |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.5 / 1.0 |
| Win rate this season* | 36% | 7% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 0.6 / 1.0 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
*Flandria shown at home, UAI Urquiza shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Flandria — last 5
DWLLL
At home: keeps a clean sheet 51% of the time; 26% of home games go over 2.5.
UAI Urquiza — last 5
DDLDD
On the road: clean sheet 29% of the time; 41% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Flandria (home) | UAI Urquiza (away) |
|---|
| This season record | 5-3-6 in 14 (1.1 / 1.2 goals per game) | 1-9-4 in 14 (0.5 / 1.0 goals per game) |
| Clean sheet rate | 51% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% | 41% |
Prim B Metro (Argentina) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 2.06
Home wins: 39%
Draws: 33%
Away wins: 28%
Over 2.5: 35%
BTTS: 43%
Use these Prim B Metro (Argentina) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.12 vs 0.57):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-0 (21%) |
| Double chance — Flandria or draw (1X) | 81% |
| Double chance — UAI Urquiza or draw (X2) | 51% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 68% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 50% / 50% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 9% / 91% |
| Flandria clean sheet | 57% |
| UAI Urquiza clean sheet | 33% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Flandria is the model's most likely outcome at
47%. Flandria are backed at home, where they average 1.2 goals a game. Goals may be harder to come by (65% under 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Under 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
No.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Flandria vs UAI Urquiza — FAQ
Who will win Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?
Our statistical model makes Flandria the most likely result at 47%. Full probabilities: Flandria 47%, draw 33%, UAI Urquiza 21%.
Will both teams score in Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?
The model gives a 42% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'No'.
How many goals in Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?
Expected goals are 1.12 for Flandria and 0.57 for UAI Urquiza — about 1.7 total, pointing to Under 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Flandria vs UAI Urquiza?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-0 (21%). Double chance for Flandria or draw is 81%.