Flekkeroy vs Madla IL Prediction & Preview
3 Divisjon (Norway) · Sep 05, 2026 · kickoff 13:00 UTC · model-based analysis by GoalSoon
3 DIVISJON (NORWAY)
Flekkeroy vs Madla IL
Model pick: Madla IL (59%)
Goals: Over 2.5
BTTS: Yes
📊 Match Prediction
Win probabilities from our own Poisson statistical model (attack & defence ratings, home advantage, expected goals):
Expected goals: 1.55 – 2.77
Total goals: 4.3
Over 2.5: 70%
Both teams score: 64%
⚔️ Head-to-Head Form & Stats
| Flekkeroy | Madla IL |
|---|
| League position | n/a | n/a |
| Goals scored / conceded per game* | n/a | n/a |
| Win rate this season* | 0% | 0% |
| Last 5 goals for / against | 1.8 / 1.6 | 3.2 / 1.8 |
*Flekkeroy shown at home, Madla IL shown away — the split that matters for this fixture.
🔥 Recent Form
Flekkeroy — last 5
WLLLW
At home: keeps a clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of home games go over 2.5.
Madla IL — last 5
WWWDW
On the road: clean sheet 0% of the time; 50% of away games go over 2.5.
📈 Key Stats & Trends
| Trend | Flekkeroy (home) | Madla IL (away) |
|---|
| This season record | n/a | n/a |
| Clean sheet rate | 0% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
3 Divisjon (Norway) — league context this season
Avg goals / game: 4.58
Home wins: 49%
Draws: 14%
Away wins: 37%
Over 2.5: 79%
BTTS: 69%
Use these 3 Divisjon (Norway) averages as a benchmark for the two teams above.
🎲 More Prediction Markets
Derived from the model's expected goals (1.55 vs 2.77):
| Market | Model probability |
|---|
| Most likely scoreline | 1-2 (8%) |
| Double chance — Flekkeroy or draw (1X) | 37% |
| Double chance — Madla IL or draw (X2) | 80% |
| Double chance — either team (12) | 83% |
| Over / Under 1.5 goals | 93% / 7% |
| Over / Under 3.5 goals | 63% / 37% |
| Flekkeroy clean sheet | 6% |
| Madla IL clean sheet | 21% |
🎯 Our Verdict
Madla IL is the model's most likely outcome at
59%. Despite playing away, Madla IL edge the model — their form outweighs home advantage here. With expected goals of 4.3, this shapes as an open game (70% over 2.5).
The lean on goals is
Over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score
Yes.
These are model probabilities, not guarantees — football is uncertain by design.
See live probabilities for every game → goalsoon.com
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❓ Flekkeroy vs Madla IL — FAQ
Who will win Flekkeroy vs Madla IL?
Our statistical model makes Madla IL the most likely result at 59%. Full probabilities: Flekkeroy 22%, draw 19%, Madla IL 59%.
Will both teams score in Flekkeroy vs Madla IL?
The model gives a 64% chance both teams score, so the lean is 'Yes'.
How many goals in Flekkeroy vs Madla IL?
Expected goals are 1.55 for Flekkeroy and 2.77 for Madla IL — about 4.3 total, pointing to Over 2.5.
What is the most likely score in Flekkeroy vs Madla IL?
The model's single most likely scoreline is 1-2 (8%). Double chance for Flekkeroy or draw is 37%.